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Sam Lessin on Artificial Intelligence

Sam Lessin's takes on AI, machine learning, LLMs, and the transformation of technology — drawn from his writing, tweets, and podcast.

Essays

SWL Week in Review - AI Flippenings & 2x2s

More or Less Podcast — Flippenings OpenAI gets passed in revenue (and valuation) by Anthropic, Google might now eclipse Nvidia on market cap./ is within a breath… a moment of AI flippenings is upon us & the real story isn’t the vying for first place, it is the fact that there is a race at all… bec...


Invite to Pearl genesis event

hey {{ customer.name | split: " " | first }}, I’ve been working on something I think you’ll find genuinely interesting: Pearl — a new protocol that turns AI compute into a native digital currency based on a recent mathematical breakthrough. You can read the foundational research here.... On Ma...


SWL Week in Review - WWE of Silicon Valley

More or Less — ‘Executive Chairman’ We riff on apple, Musk vs. Altman WWE ‘power fight’ (not a money fight)… UBI isn’t gonna solve much, cursor — Jensen’s ‘I didn’t wake up a loser’ stressy moment… my colonoscopy nurse hates AI, and more. HOT TAKES Narrative WWE Warfare When Story Matters More T...


Invite to Pearl genesis event

hey {{ customer.name | split: " " | first }}, I’ve been working on something I think you’ll find genuinely interesting: Pearl — a new protocol that turns AI compute into a native digital currency based on a recent mathematical breakthrough. You can read the foundational research here.... On Ma...


SWL Week in Review - Build Your Own Apps

More or Less — Who Can Afford to Pay Taxes?! We talk all birds, and a bunch about how the decision to sell / hold these big IPOs with huge markups has more to do with relative valuation than price because of taxes! Also I spent most of the episode locked out of my SF office (I don’t have a key) — a...


SWL Week in Review - AI Is Not a Labor Crisis. It Is a Meaning Crisis.

AI Is Not a Labor Crisis. It Is a Meaning Crisis. "Civilizations are not mainly threatened by discomfort; they are threatened by superfluity" People are worried about all sorts of things when it comes to AI… killer robots / AGI deciding to dispose of humanity (on purpose or by accident), a modern ...


SWL Week in Review - Looksmaxxing

More or Less Pod - AI Security Apocalypse For a while we have been gabbing about how AI completely breaks the business model of the internet / will end the internet by destroying how it makes money (the medium is the message… which is the business model) — but with all these inevitable AI security...


SWL Week in Review - Bot or Not

More or Less : Ladies Edition Dave and I went skiing… so the ladies invited some other non-sam-dave people on the podcast. Henrik and Ben on something called ?“donkeycorns”? … will watch it on the flight home because airplane wifi is actually starting to work (and yes, I 100% will pay more and choo...


SWL Week in Review - Master of Bots

More or Less - GTC & Claws Dave and Jess go on and on about GTC … shocker I didn’t go, but if Jensen wants to stop by the poorhouse and sauna for 3 hours he is more than welcome! Dave and I get into a pretty interesting discussion IMHO on ‘is Openclaw an OS’… what does an OS even mean / what is the...


SWL Week in Review - A Commodity Without Monopoly Power

More or Less — Dark Pools and Commodified Intelligence There is no question that developer demand more tokens… but do consumers? For what really? Is there any real margin in generic martix multiplication or is the market for ‘intelligence’ just the cost of power … and brutal competition in a world ...


SWL Week in Review - Claude Week

More or Less - Cutting Block Why aren’t the Silicon Valley engineers freaking out at Claude? Lack of union (like Hollywood)… or is freaking out admitting you are scared you aren’t good enough to be in the minority of engineers who will make more money vs. getting axed?! Also more on the ‘triangle t...


SWL Week in Review - Roblox for Adults

More or Less - Capitalism at Work Collapsing Margins to Zero We discuss Stripe / PayPal (the only question is regulatory / do collisions want to be in front of congress for years once administrations change over)… and spend a lot on this big question of what happens when building software goes the ...


SWL Week in Review - P90 selloff

More or Less: Urgent Care Jess made me stop podcasting and go to urgent care in the middle of the episode…. Because I thought I might have ‘dan corned’ myself after an epic run in the side country (I was fine)… but it means I missed most of the conversation — so I am as curious as you are as to wha...


SWL Week in Review - No Typists Anymore...

More or Less — In Everyone a Developer or No One A Developer? A great conversation between ski runs … on the future of open networks vs. closed / monolithic AI companies… in the future is ‘everyone a developer’ … or are there no developers and everyone just builds things (just like everyone types)…...


SWL Week in Review - Chosen by the Claw.

More or Less - Twitter Was Elon’s Ultimate Vibe Buy & Holy SpaceX The world is moving so fast this big news feels already old… but we break down more Elon world… The ‘vibe buy’ of X (remember when he tried to back out) as a HUGELY positive move for shaping the narrative through the elites & degens ...


From the Podcast

Blah, blah, blah. It's silly, but the point is that, like, this is just, like, the opposite of it, which if you're Elon, you're gonna price to perfection 'cause you can. You're gonna, like, get the headline number, the trillion number you wanted. You get a bunch of money for the company, I guess, or the, at a high price, and then who cares what the stock trades within reason? It's fine. He got everything he wanted. He bailed out his xAI people. He bailed out his Twitter people. He bailed everyone out, right? So Elon gets to be the guy who makes everyone money. And if you're a SpaceX shareholder, you're like, "Whatever." You kinda got robbed on a few things, but number big.

— Sam Lessin, More or Less Ep 161

This bot school was in, like, a dingy basement, and we taught them how to, like, use AI to, like, crush things. And we actually had them use Claude, not any OpenAI stuff. I think it was the opposite. It was, like, literally we got them, like, shitty bagels, and we, we t- we negged them and taught them how to use GitHub and DigitalOcean.

— Sam Lessin, More or Less Ep 161

Wait, we love Charles. Don't use Charles' name. Leave Charles out of this.

— Sam Lessin, More or Less Ep 161

I think both are almost certainly true in that I am sure that it is true that people lifted a bunch of IP out of Apple on their way to OpenAI. I am also 100% sure that it's the equivalent of, like, continuing to FedEx all your employees all your internal documents when they're no longer employees, and, like, Apple, like, it's so leaky. Right? So, like, both are true. Both are true. It's a great defense. I didn't even ask for this file.

— Sam Lessin, More or Less Ep 161

And it does speak to the fact that it's good to be a seed investor. And again, this is-

— Sam Lessin, More or Less Ep 161

What I will say that the, the basically 10X writedown from max Airtable value to now with all the dilution is brutal, right, is what I would say.

— Sam Lessin, More or Less Ep 161

'Cause their fing- 'Cause they type A on their keyboard, and it autocompletes to airtable.com, and so they will keep using it. Like, why do people... Like, Yahoo is still fucking huge. Huge. Yahoo's huge. Like, why is Yahoo huge? It's-

— Sam Lessin, More or Less Ep 161

It's, like, something ti- This is, like, literally 'cause we're seed investors, we have no information rights on this. Our firm thread yesterday was like, "Hey, Airtable's being..." Or whatever it was. It was like, "Airtable's being sold. I saw it in a tweet. What's it worth? I don't know. This guy tweeted this." What's going on with the I- Like, we don't fucking know. Like, we're like, we're so out of the information flow, but I assume at some point we get some Bending Spoons stock.

— Sam Lessin, More or Less Ep 161

Well, but Dave, I mean, if we wanna be cynical, 'cause we've gotta be cynical a little bit here, here's the other way to look at it. The reason this never happens is because big fancy investors, not us lowly seed investors, but big fancy ones, have no interest in the write down, right? It's a massive write down, right, for them, and they'd rather just stick it on their books and pretend like it's worth something it's not until the last possible moment. The fact that they could get rid of it, get a little bit of cash back, and then turn around and say, "Oh, no, don't worry, we still have our AI upside," that's kinda what allows it to happen. So as much as it's a split landing and it's good for the team, it's also a thing, and big fancy investors who don't want the write down can look at and be like, "All right. Well, we can tell everyone that we took a write down, but not really 'cause of AI." I, I say that having not read the docs, to be clear, but, like that is certainly part of the dynamic.

— Sam Lessin, More or Less Ep 161

But guys, it's also a people thing. It's like Howie wants to work on AI, 'cause AI is cool. You're saddled with a thing that has hundreds of millions of dollars in revenue, but is clearly, like, a SaaS business, and, like, they're like, "Let's fix it. Let's just clarify this. Call a spade a spade." It's painful, but you're not in a place you can IPO it. I don't know, you clear the decks and you let the people... This is so human driven, right? Like, what people wanna work on, what teams wanna work on. Bending Spoons will pick it up and make a lot of money on it, so God bless.

— Sam Lessin, More or Less Ep 161

There's no heart needed. You take Vimeo, you buy it. It's a great business if you operated it properly. You, like, buy it cheaply, you consolidate customer service, you make a shitload of money, right? It's awesome. I do think, like, SaaS is crushed. It's cool they've negotiated this out. I actually don't know the details. I haven't spoken to Howie about it at all. My sense is, is that Howie gets to go operate the AI company he actually wants to operate. And as a Bending Spoons shareholder, I'm very happy. Now, as an Airtable shareholder, the write down from where everyone had it marked, the big fancy people, is pretty brutal. And I'd also say that, like, the amount of capital it took them to get to this outcome is not my favorite, 'cause there's a lot of dilution, but, you know, it's something.

— Sam Lessin, More or Less Ep 161

It is an interesting one, 'cause you think about all the dilution that's gone on between that $90 million valuation and, like, kinda the ultimate Bending Spoons exit, and it's pretty rough math on the core product. Now, the good news is Howie's a great leader and a great thinker, and has an AI play that's coming next. I don't know that much about it, so it's a split thing where it seems like the Airtable, like, legacy business is going to Bending Spoons, which, by the way, I love Bending Spoons. I actually bought stock at IPO in Bending Spoons, I love Bending Spoons so much. So I'm, like, big Bending Spoons fan.

— Sam Lessin, More or Less Ep 161

I mean, sure. Dave, but, uh, I think Dave was my second on the deal, but, like, we had Howie over, we loved the software, that we were literally, when we were building Fin, we were using Airtable. I was like, "This product's sick. We need to invest in it. Who's behind it?" Turned out it was Howie at Etax from back in the day. I knew him from his first startup. So we put 3 million bucks in at 90 post, which Dave did support me on. It was very rule-breaking for Slow at the time, 'cause it was too far along.

— Sam Lessin, More or Less Ep 161

Let me give some context on this. So I put a $3 million check into Airtable at a 90 post in between rounds early on, 'cause this is now probably in 2012-ish, maybe, uh, that era.

— Sam Lessin, More or Less Ep 161

No, Sundar is fine. Sundar's already doing the job. If you're Demis, you're the forefront of AI, you're with, like, the future is no employees and you're self-improving, nursing a whole-

— Sam Lessin, More or Less Ep 161

Tweets

I really don't understand how Spotify doesn't yet have an LLM mode where I can describe a mood, etc. and it generates a playlist for me. Seems unbelievably obvious value add.

March 29, 2025 · 11366 likes · link

For some reason @Harvard has taken down Dean Gay's statement on the death of George Floyd from its original source.... but I think it is worth reflecting on today, and juxtaposing her words then with what she said today when questioned about hate speech towards Jews on campus and… https://t.co/tAaPoNWbum

December 06, 2023 · 6234 likes · link

The coming fall of the Kardashians in context of how entertainment is evolving... (aka why they are so pissed about tiktok) https://t.co/wtYrvxbS35

July 26, 2022 · 2682 likes · link

The Year is 2027, China Has Invaded Taiwan.. and American kids are holding anti-war pro-China rallies in the streets of the US … all because of TikTok https://t.co/4GQtIBBQig

November 15, 2023 · 2330 likes · link

Required Reading for All VC Jobs — You Will Fail at Capitalism if You Haven’t Digested This Media https://t.co/5ehBL1L95c

March 21, 2025 · 2307 likes · link

There are two jewish heads of state in the entire world - Zelensky and Netanyahu... it says something that they are leading the two nations defending western liberalism in global proxy wars... against deeply illiberal regimes.

November 05, 2023 · 1848 likes · link

It is nearly impossible to convince a VC of a thesis they don’t already believe, so the key in fundraising is to ‘discover’ the right partners, not try to educate and convince… https://t.co/t91w1Y1pPQ

August 05, 2022 · 1780 likes · link

Taxing Billionaires’ Unrealized Gains is Disgraceful ... https://t.co/sDtZcYoyIH

October 24, 2021 · 1549 likes · link

The jelly jelly coin is live... making the internet fun again... https://t.co/GNZ2Lxnumq https://t.co/Kc6z3JL6tE

January 29, 2025 · 1495 likes · link

This is the problem with the NYT losing so much trust in their journalism / neutrality. A jewish man is killed at a pro- palastian demonstration after being struck in the head by a megaphone by a pro Palestinian protester -- the NYT just skips that part .... The NYT OMITS… https://t.co/f7LmZaiQS0

November 07, 2023 · 1326 likes · link

I really don’t understand why people hate on email so much... I feel like it is nearly perfect communication medium for actually getting things done. Asynch, triage-able, seach, forces process discipline, open platform, etc

October 17, 2019 · 1305 likes · link

OMG. vaporfly is the most impressive tech i have experienced in years. period. forget LLMs. mind blown. https://t.co/ol4lKb6iy3

April 14, 2023 · 1140 likes · link

shame on the @nytimes -- huge journalistic failure. Someone should lose their job over this. https://t.co/vRxUTIqYhC

October 17, 2023 · 1087 likes · link

I am legit curious what will happen to tech culture if this LK-99 thing plays out and the entire GPU supply pivots to be only focused on fusion power plants, space rail guns, and batteries instead of whatever stupid applications startups are working on now.

August 03, 2023 · 1068 likes · link

Is @elonmusk's relationship with twitter that different than tesla in his own mind? sure he owns more of tesla (17% vs 9%) but not dramatically. in both cases he comes in non-founder investor, & then leads by making a bunch of product oriented claims on the internet ;)

April 10, 2022 · 1029 likes · link

Why you should be ‘default out’ on investing in ‘Generative AI’ companies for the next few years. https://t.co/FhFlJjLefZ

October 24, 2022 · 995 likes · link

AI will indeed spell the end of all human outbound sales jobs. NOT because AI "replaces" them, but instead because AI so poisons the well and no one responds to anything anymore.

November 03, 2024 · 987 likes · link

I can't wait for the South Park episode on all of this... https://t.co/AZtI4DwCTM

January 06, 2024 · 950 likes · link

We need to stop calling financing all software startups ‘venture capital’ when it is just plain old ‘private equity’... https://t.co/FTMybu2xf3

June 14, 2021 · 941 likes · link

Shameful AND a huge journalistic fail. We should assume the public web is going to be full of fake news, but when you can't even trust the times with headlines like these, we are really in trouble. https://t.co/D2RspZ3T70

October 17, 2023 · 876 likes · link