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Sam Lessin on Startups & Entrepreneurship

Sam Lessin's insights on building startups, product development, founder lessons, and entrepreneurship from founding Drop.io and Fin.

Essays

SWL Week in Review - AI Flippenings & 2x2s

More or Less Podcast — Flippenings OpenAI gets passed in revenue (and valuation) by Anthropic, Google might now eclipse Nvidia on market cap./ is within a breath… a moment of AI flippenings is upon us & the real story isn’t the vying for first place, it is the fact that there is a race at all… bec...


SWL Week in Review - WWE of Silicon Valley

More or Less — ‘Executive Chairman’ We riff on apple, Musk vs. Altman WWE ‘power fight’ (not a money fight)… UBI isn’t gonna solve much, cursor — Jensen’s ‘I didn’t wake up a loser’ stressy moment… my colonoscopy nurse hates AI, and more. HOT TAKES Narrative WWE Warfare When Story Matters More T...


SWL Week in Review - Build Your Own Apps

More or Less — Who Can Afford to Pay Taxes?! We talk all birds, and a bunch about how the decision to sell / hold these big IPOs with huge markups has more to do with relative valuation than price because of taxes! Also I spent most of the episode locked out of my SF office (I don’t have a key) — a...


SWL Week in Review - AI Is Not a Labor Crisis. It Is a Meaning Crisis.

AI Is Not a Labor Crisis. It Is a Meaning Crisis. "Civilizations are not mainly threatened by discomfort; they are threatened by superfluity" People are worried about all sorts of things when it comes to AI… killer robots / AGI deciding to dispose of humanity (on purpose or by accident), a modern ...


SWL Week in Review - Looksmaxxing

More or Less Pod - AI Security Apocalypse For a while we have been gabbing about how AI completely breaks the business model of the internet / will end the internet by destroying how it makes money (the medium is the message… which is the business model) — but with all these inevitable AI security...


SWL Week in Review - Master of Bots

More or Less - GTC & Claws Dave and Jess go on and on about GTC … shocker I didn’t go, but if Jensen wants to stop by the poorhouse and sauna for 3 hours he is more than welcome! Dave and I get into a pretty interesting discussion IMHO on ‘is Openclaw an OS’… what does an OS even mean / what is the...


SWL Week in Review - Claude Week

More or Less - Cutting Block Why aren’t the Silicon Valley engineers freaking out at Claude? Lack of union (like Hollywood)… or is freaking out admitting you are scared you aren’t good enough to be in the minority of engineers who will make more money vs. getting axed?! Also more on the ‘triangle t...


SWL Week in Review - Roblox for Adults

More or Less - Capitalism at Work Collapsing Margins to Zero We discuss Stripe / PayPal (the only question is regulatory / do collisions want to be in front of congress for years once administrations change over)… and spend a lot on this big question of what happens when building software goes the ...


SWL Week in Review - No Typists Anymore...

More or Less — In Everyone a Developer or No One A Developer? A great conversation between ski runs … on the future of open networks vs. closed / monolithic AI companies… in the future is ‘everyone a developer’ … or are there no developers and everyone just builds things (just like everyone types)…...


SWL Week in Review - Chosen by the Claw.

More or Less - Twitter Was Elon’s Ultimate Vibe Buy & Holy SpaceX The world is moving so fast this big news feels already old… but we break down more Elon world… The ‘vibe buy’ of X (remember when he tried to back out) as a HUGELY positive move for shaping the narrative through the elites & degens ...


SWL Week in Review - Gold.

MATT MAHAN Thursday Matt Mahan — the Mayor of San Jose — announced he is running for Governor of CA. This is very good news thematically (maybe there will be another young generation of actually good people willing to do shitty government jobs that matter?) && because Matt (and his wife Silvia) ar...


SWL Week in Review - half-kelly

More or Less — Have Secret or Own Narrative Jess is in Davos… we are left behind with the riffraff… fun conversation around Clawdbot, Ralph — mercenary AI ‘founders’ … I was personally interested in some of the conversation we got into re: how to support hardware businesses in a world where your 8-...


SWL Week in Review - Positivity?

More or Less - A Touch Of Optimism? Thanks to all the folks who felt necessary to message back about my downer email last week… all the media people were like ‘yah this sounds right’ and all the investors were like ‘stop being a bummer’ for what that is worth… this weeks MOL / week 1 of 2026 we are...


SWL Week in Review - The Narratives of ’26

So what are the themes of the year that actually matter? The stories we tell ourselves about the world have always mattered a great deal… but we live in a particularly strong moment of narrative power and narrative instability. Fundamentally this is all because of the internet -- a new human superp...


SWL Week in Review - Whip not Muscle

More or Less — Predictions for 2026 We grade ourselves on our 2025 predictions and talk 2026… upshot — we did ‘ok’ on 2025, on 2026 we have a few you can actually hold us accountable for & a bunch you probably can’t. 2025 Predictions: Bitcoin Price, Solana ETFs, Crypto Regulation, Amazon Marketpl...


From the Podcast

So I can't exactly preview it, 'cause my other phone that I was buying things on died, but somehow these silly people have decided that I'm gonna do this pod alone. And so I have assembled six of the world's premier investors, and we're gonna do a Sam and Friends episode, and who knows what's gonna happen. But I've got basically the founders of some of the best VC firms.

— Sam Lessin, More or Less Ep 161

Why would number go up? Like, this is like, you know what it is? It reminds me of, like, the Bill Gurley thing. You know how Bill Gurley always likes to talk about how bankers rob startups because they under, they, for the pop and ba, ba, ba, ba, ba?

— Sam Lessin, More or Less Ep 161

I mean, sure. Dave, but, uh, I think Dave was my second on the deal, but, like, we had Howie over, we loved the software, that we were literally, when we were building Fin, we were using Airtable. I was like, "This product's sick. We need to invest in it. Who's behind it?" Turned out it was Howie at Etax from back in the day. I knew him from his first startup. So we put 3 million bucks in at 90 post, which Dave did support me on. It was very rule-breaking for Slow at the time, 'cause it was too far along.

— Sam Lessin, More or Less Ep 161

And, like, for some fuck... It's, like, wild. And so I actually messaged the founders of Venmo. I was like, "Guys," the actual founders, like, "Guys." And they were like, "We don't even know anyone, so we can't get you back anymore."

— Sam Lessin, More or Less Ep 160

I agree with that. I mean, like, look, it's just like Star Wars. There's a dark side of the Force and the light side of the Force, right? And, you know, in some ways, the dark side is easier. Certainly easier message to sell and raise capital against and a bunch of other stuff. But ultimately, the light side of the Force, which is this is, like, how you do it for good, is a, I think, hopefully, ultimately victorious in the longer and, and the better message. Uh, it's just harder for other people to pull off. I mean, I think it's very easy to sell the negative story, especially in a place of non-incumbency. I think Mark is one of the rare leaders that actually is in a position as a founder at a trillion-dollar scale who already has all the people on his platform who can try to tell the light side of the story, is what I would say. And they're, look, they're probably both true. Like, the Force does have two sides, you know? It always does.

— Sam Lessin, More or Less Ep 160

I don't, I don't know. I mean, like, look, it's obviously, I mean, a great company and a great thing to own. It indexes the entire internet, and, like, I like it, and everyone u- Like, there's all the good things, but it is an interesting question of, like, and I, I totally respect that the founders are like, "Look, we have total control, and our version of control, unlike everyone else's version..." Like, Elon's version of I have total control is max crazy. Stripe's version of I have total control with the Collisons is, like, min crazy, right? And, like, that's completely fine for them. I mean, they're multi-billionaires. They do whatever they want. But it is an interesting thing that they have not paced in storytelling with what they could've been, or where they could've been, where they're, from the place they're at, and how to think about that, right, is, like, the way I'd say. And, like, I actually think there's a really interesting opening them, for them right now with some interesting moves-

— Sam Lessin, More or Less Ep 159

100 billy? Like, that's like, that's a seed AI startup, right? And like, so you're like... Yeah, and like, so they screwed up.

— Sam Lessin, More or Less Ep 159

I mean, I think, look, I was talking to one of our founders earlier who works on, uh, our MeritFirst testing platform. And, like, it is interesting how that, like, let's just drive hard on meritocracy, and, like, the best people should have it, open competition, et cetera, went from being kind of fringy to, like, completely mainstream. As part... I think we just have this, like, separation. We have, like, Mondami, nihilism, socialism, and then we have, like, a bunch of people that are in the minority numerically, but maybe not in terms of wealth and power, who are just like, "No, like, we want freedom, and capitalism, and meritocracy." Like, that's the trifecta. And so I just think that the world's very split, um, and that's what's making it super interesting. History says we're all about to get guillotined, but we'll, we'll find out.

— Sam Lessin, More or Less Ep 157

Yeah. Well, I was saying like, I was saying like, look, everyone's joking about how Hollywood's dead, which it obviously is, but I would actually argue in some ways it's like, it's kind of like an Obi-Wan Kenobi situation, which is by striking me down, I'll become more powerful than you can possibly imagine, 'cause now everything is Hollywood, right? And like, what does that mean? I mean, like, one, like companies are valued on what they actually do, profit, revenue, whatever, and then a multiple on top of that, right? But everything is multiple dominated. You can like make your revenue go up, it doesn't matter. What matters is like people's, what multiple they're gonna assign you and like how they think about you. You know, studios, cabals rule everything just like in Hollywood, right? You need to be able to align with Club Elon or Club OpenAI or Club Meta or Club Google to be valuable. Like if Elon says space data center, overnight anything that has space data center in the title is worth a fortune, even if the day earlier it was worth nothing, right? And so like there's a whole cabal studio system developing. And then there's star power that really matters, right? Meaning like there's people who can open movies, there are people who can open startups.

— Sam Lessin, More or Less Ep 158

I did ask i- in our back channel, like i- if the SpaceX IPO makes it harder or easier for other startups to go public. And the, I, I don't know what I was expecting, but uh, several people chimed in harder in the short term because the comps are kind of like not great.

— Sam Lessin, More or Less Ep 154

Well, they have Alpha Camp in summer, but it's effectively just a trial week at their school program. And the program is such, the first two hours of the day, each kid gets a laptop. The laptop evaluates exactly how smart they are at each subject, and then figures out exactly how to get them to, like, an 80% success rate every single day. And, and they play games. So it's like instead of math, they're doing a math game, but they're getting, like, 20% wrong, and they're slowly, like, growing their skills and teaching them in all these different courses and, um, parts of academics. Then the rest of the day, six hours, is, like, workshops and fun stuff, and, like, entrepreneurship, financial literacy. Like, our, our 10-year-old learned how to suture a wound, like s- with stitches. Um, they built apps. They did smart greenhouses. They played with micro:bits. They built, like, catapults.

— Sam Lessin, More or Less Ep 156

The thing I was gonna also say is, in that conversation yesterday with this founder Dave's talking about, what it came down to at the end too, you know, he's trying to recruit his like founding engineer. Everyone's a great e- a lot of people are great engineers. You know, of course some are better than others, fine. But cultural fit I think matters way more now than ever before, when like the, the ability to be a, a great engineer is like much easier than ever before. And so it's like teaching these people how to be human, maybe a little throwback to etiquette school, but also like having street smarts, being a cool person, high integrity, like vibing with the team, I think is, is going to matter more than ever over the next few years for teams.

— Sam Lessin, More or Less Ep 156

It's fine. I- AI can make... If the AI can make the trailer, here's the thing, they should use AI to make it. I- if AI will always make the same fucking trailer over and over again, which means I will instantly get bored of your trailer, right? It's like, it's like, it's like Transformers number 87. Boring, right? I don't care about your trailer. But if you use AI to make an amazing, like to help your improve your storytelling, like, God bless. But basically, I wanna wake up every day as a VC and instead of looking at my inbox, I wanna watch an, a hour of like movie trailers before I get to the meeting I have to go to. And like, I will pick which movies I wanna see/which startups I wanna invest in based on the movie trailer. This is the future.

— Sam Lessin, More or Less Ep 151

No, no, the video mon- I don't give a sh- The money raising thing is stupid. Like, that's not a good story. That's a boring story. But there are great stories. It's like if you can't make... If you, how about this? If you can't make your startup into a sick movie trailer, don't do it, right? It's like you should be able to tell, have a sick movie trailer for your startup. And if you're just like, "I'm making something," and you can't articulate the vision. So, like, Elon companies have sick trailers.

— Sam Lessin, More or Less Ep 151

... I just, I'm just saying that, like, I think, I, I don't know if I can mention it publicly, so I won't, but, like, there's a company that I've known for a while, we put a small C check into 18 months ago. I lo- It's, like, the coolest story, right? And, but the storytelling was never, like, quite there beyond the one-liner, and they sent me their recent video where, like, we've got a video person now, they're doing video, like, every month and helping us with the storytelling, and I'm like, "This is so much better." Like, this is now so compelling, and you're telling it so well because you're fitting it into a narrative format in an era of narrative capitalism. So, like, of all the things that I'm super skeptical of and hate, I actually think this, like, let's give, like, storytel- Like, the future of Hollywood is gonna be, like, storytelling for companies and, like, we should do the sto- we should do the documentaries of startups and, like, continuously be doing high quality video. It's like the anti-TikTok. I'm, like, super it, into it, and I'm, I'm only annoyed, I'm only annoyed that I've, like, been on this 100K documentary thing for a while and, like, really wanted to do this, and I have not done it, and I haven't executed it, right? Like, and so I'm... But, so but it's, it's totally a thing, and I think it is such a thing that, like, one Sam structural mistake is I always, like, see someone else do something and I'm like-

— Sam Lessin, More or Less Ep 151

Tweets

I am legit curious what will happen to tech culture if this LK-99 thing plays out and the entire GPU supply pivots to be only focused on fusion power plants, space rail guns, and batteries instead of whatever stupid applications startups are working on now.

August 03, 2023 · 1068 likes · link

Is @elonmusk's relationship with twitter that different than tesla in his own mind? sure he owns more of tesla (17% vs 9%) but not dramatically. in both cases he comes in non-founder investor, & then leads by making a bunch of product oriented claims on the internet ;)

April 10, 2022 · 1029 likes · link

We need to stop calling financing all software startups ‘venture capital’ when it is just plain old ‘private equity’... https://t.co/FTMybu2xf3

June 14, 2021 · 941 likes · link

Updating the founder archetype for 2025… https://t.co/NtWe8ugzD0

January 22, 2025 · 879 likes · link

Cowboys, Craftsmen, and Visionaries — The Three Founder Archetypes. https://t.co/TIKeG51OFc

August 01, 2023 · 541 likes · link

Silicon Valley Startup Culture & Startup Infrastructure is Designed for 20 Year Olds…, Not 40 Year Olds https://t.co/7P4TBDc296

July 20, 2023 · 517 likes · link

The AI winners will be a 3-5 Trillion dollar companies, and 10,000+ small business entrepreneurs - not the "middle" https://t.co/IAT6ygykb0

June 19, 2024 · 495 likes · link

Startup Founders — This Week is a Wakeup Call — Demand To Know The LPs of Your VCs; Do Not Find Yourself Accidentally Delivering Returns for People Who Spend it To Murder Civilians. https://t.co/ZZtjfhiWQx

October 10, 2023 · 494 likes · link

Introducing Slow Creator Fund I -- Backing a New Generation of Community-First Entrepreneurs. https://t.co/NwpZeuFXvf

February 12, 2025 · 451 likes · link

If Startup Equity Was Traded Like Crypto … https://t.co/0Ibn8Bjc1E

May 23, 2021 · 422 likes · link

It is under-appreciated how critical the AWS/ 'cloud' is in COVID period. without it, none of the services that have become critical could scale up with demand, and other startups now facing zero demand couldn't turn down costs and survive (vs bleeding out on infra costs)

April 04, 2020 · 403 likes · link

VCs are the ‘tenured professors’ of the startup world… and just like professors, they can use that status well or very very poorly — especially if they are young. https://t.co/kCGGbEcDPr

August 28, 2023 · 385 likes · link

Startups are like running ultra-marathons… but without a set end-line / instead you choose when you stop running— this is mentally the most brutal thing imaginable. https://t.co/r3TnxduMPR

August 18, 2023 · 347 likes · link

As i have been saying for a year -- LLMs / AI, great for incumbents - not for startups ... Spotify implementing translation vs this being a "startup" is perfect case study... leverage AI, but if you base your startup dream on "AI" you are going to zero fast. https://t.co/9r8PJEa74v

September 26, 2023 · 344 likes · link

What is the biggest / most successful startup that did remote-only / remote primary engineering team buildout from the start?

August 01, 2019 · 281 likes · link

The Real Problem For Founders in Crypto ‘Winter’ Isn’t Gonna Be Running Out Of Money… It Is Going To Be Staying Sane / Not Giving Up. https://t.co/7LdKRLIFxa

December 22, 2022 · 254 likes · link

NetJets for Farms — Request for Startup https://t.co/8jAdJyey0A

August 19, 2023 · 248 likes · link

As i have been saying for weeks... AI, great for big companies with existing distribution, but no - not an opportunity for startups or VCs. This is going just as expected :) https://t.co/C0IKbIZ7YO

February 01, 2023 · 237 likes · link

’Founder Mode’ doesn’t exist in a vacuum… it is a modern tech driven phenomenon where you can drop ‘middle management’ — it wasn't historically viable (in fact, middle management WAS a technology last generation ago!) https://t.co/tpNPAKk7T3

September 02, 2024 · 206 likes · link

A lot of really really talented multi-time successful entrepreneurs seem to be in the earliest days of 'newco' formation in crypto. I take this as a deeply bullish overall sign -- the grilled veterans special ops folks are landing on the beaches.

September 01, 2021 · 188 likes · link